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An advantage of a weighted moving average is that more recent experience is given more weight than less recent experience.

A) True
B) False

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Which is not a characteristic of exponential smoothing?


A) Smooths random variations in the data
B) Weights each historical value equally
C) Provides an easily altered weighting scheme
D) Directly accounts for forecast error
E) Smooths real variations in the data

F) D) and E)
G) All of the above

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The naive forecast can serve as a standard of comparison against which to judge the cost and accuracy of other techniques.

A) True
B) False

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The owner of Leisure Boutique in a local mall is forecasting this month's (October's) demand for one of her best-selling products based on the following historical data: the series displays a trend. The owner of Leisure Boutique in a local mall is forecasting this month's (October's) demand for one of her best-selling products based on the following historical data: the series displays a trend.   What is this month's forecast using the naive approach? A) 100 B) 200 C) 130 D) 140 E) 120 The series has a trend. What is this month's forecast using the naive approach?


A) 100
B) 200
C) 130
D) 140
E) 120 The series has a trend.

F) A) and B)
G) B) and D)

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The business analyst for Ace Business Machines,Inc.wants to forecast this year's demand for manual typewriters based on the following historical data: The business analyst for Ace Business Machines,Inc.wants to forecast this year's demand for manual typewriters based on the following historical data:   What is the forecast for this year using the least squares trend line for these data? A) 163 B) 180 C) 300 D) 420 E) 510 What is the forecast for this year using the least squares trend line for these data?


A) 163
B) 180
C) 300
D) 420
E) 510

F) None of the above
G) C) and D)

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Demand for the last four months was: Demand for the last four months was:    (i)Predict demand for July using each of these methods: (1)a 3-period moving average (2)exponential smoothing with alpha equal to .20 (ii)If the naive approach had been used to predict demand for April through June,what would MAD have been for those months?  11eab92b_c4ad_5f76_99e6_831dafbfb9c6 (i)Predict demand for July using each of these methods: (1)a 3-period moving average (2)exponential smoothing with alpha equal to .20 (ii)If the naive approach had been used to predict demand for April through June,what would MAD have been for those months? 11eab92b_c4ad_5f76_99e6_831dafbfb9c6

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All of the following are used to measure forecast errors EXCEPT?


A) Mean absolute difference (MAD)
B) Mean weighted moving average (MWMA)
C) Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE)
D) Mean squared error (MSE)

E) None of the above
F) B) and C)

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Disadvantages of naive forecasts include:


A) time-consuming to prepare
B) it is expensive to use
C) the technique is difficult to understand
D) inability to provide highly accurate forecasts
E) time to develop a forecast is lengthy

F) B) and C)
G) A) and E)

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Which of the following is not a requirement of a properly prepared forecast?


A) Timely
B) Accurate
C) Reliable
D) Simple to understand and use
E) Inexpensive

F) C) and D)
G) A) and E)

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The business analyst for Ace Business Machines,Inc.wants to forecast this year's demand for manual typewriters based on the following historical data: The business analyst for Ace Business Machines,Inc.wants to forecast this year's demand for manual typewriters based on the following historical data:   What is the forecast for this year using a three-year weighted moving average with weights of .5,.3,and .2? A) 163 B) 180 C) 300 D) 420 E) 510 What is the forecast for this year using a three-year weighted moving average with weights of .5,.3,and .2?


A) 163
B) 180
C) 300
D) 420
E) 510

F) All of the above
G) B) and E)

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The dean of a school of business is forecasting total student enrolment for this year's summer session classes based on the following historical data: The dean of a school of business is forecasting total student enrolment for this year's summer session classes based on the following historical data:   What is this year's forecast using the naive approach? A) 2,000 B) 2,200 C) 2,800 D) 3,200 E) 3,000 There is a trend in the data set. What is this year's forecast using the naive approach?


A) 2,000
B) 2,200
C) 2,800
D) 3,200
E) 3,000 There is a trend in the data set.

F) A) and B)
G) C) and D)

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